The anticipation surrounding the Bitcoin halving event this month is palpable among cryptocurrency advocates. Contrary to previous cycles, Bitcoin has already reached its peak before the halving. Now, with new peaks on the horizon, speculation is mounting about the next halving in 2028, with a potential Bitcoin price surge to $435,000 being discussed based on current data and expert insights.
Bitcoin’s Potential Price Surge
Analysts are looking at historical trends to predict future Bitcoin values. Hao Yang of Bybit suggests that the current Bitcoin rally is less about the halving and more influenced by the introduction of ETFs into the market. Since the last halving event in 2020, Bitcoin has seen a significant rally of approximately 650%. If this trend were to continue, the cryptocurrency could reach the staggering price point of $435,000 before the approaching 2028 halving. Currently, Bitcoin’s trading value hovers around $66,000.
With the 2024 Bitcoin halving only weeks away, expectations are set for a repeat of historical patterns. If Bitcoin mirrors its current cycle performance, it could soar to a price of $434,280 by the time of the 2028 halving.
The Pattern of Bitcoin Rallies Post-Halving
Historically, Bitcoin’s post-halving rallies have yielded diminishing returns. The surge following the first 2012 halving saw an increase of over 12,400% to a value of $12.50. Subsequent halvings in 2016 and 2020 led to price jumps of 5,200% and 1,200%, respectively. If this pattern of diminishing returns holds, the next cycle could see Bitcoin rally 360%, approximating a price of $303,600 by 2028.
While Hao Yang credits the recent price uptick to Bitcoin ETFs rather than the halving, he remains optimistic about reaching the $435,000 mark by the next halving. Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas also contributes to the discourse, asserting that Bitcoin prices reaching the six-figure range could be more plausible if Bitcoin ETFs outpace gold ETFs.
Points to Consider
- Hao Yang attributes the Bitcoin rally to ETFs, not the halving event.
- Historical data suggests a potential price point of $435,000 for Bitcoin by 2028.
- Diminishing returns pattern could result in a price of $303,600 by the 2028 halving.
The regulations set forth by Spain reflect an increasing acknowledgment of blockchain and cryptocurrencies across global finance, with potential impacts on prices and future market trends.
