Bitcoin has recently breached the $120,000 mark, drawing closer to its previous peak, fueled by optimistic projections for October. The Bull Theory team asserts that the cryptocurrency may ascend to $143,000 this month. This forecast signals a potential gain of 20% for the remaining days, bolstered by historical patterns and current technical indicators, hinting at a test of all-time highs soon.
What Does Past Performance Indicate?
Historical data from CoinGlass reveals that October has ended on a positive note in 10 of the last 12 years, boasting an average return of 20.62%. Only in 2014 and 2018 did the month conclude with losses of 12.95% and 3.83%, respectively. Notably, when September yielded gains, October typically followed the same trajectory. For example, September 2015’s 2.35% increase paved the way for a 33.49% jump in October. Similarly, September 2023’s 3.91% rise led to a 28.52% boost the following month.
Is $150,000 on the Horizon for Bitcoin?
Market analyst Michael van de Poppe highlighted the critical role of sustaining the 20-week moving average as a support base, surpassing the $112,000 downtrend, and setting the stage for a historic weekly closure as bullish signals. Last week’s robust 11% candle momentum was viewed as a supportive element, alongside rallies in precious metals, which foster a conducive environment for risk appetite through interconnected channels.
Van de Poppe propounded that maintaining the present momentum could propel Bitcoin to the $150,000 milestone in the fourth quarter. The amalgamation of seasonal trends with technical breakthroughs strengthens the chance of shattering records this month, though post-peak volatility is anticipated. Critical short-term markers include weekly closures and movements around the 20-week moving average.
Several factors point to possible rises:
- Historical October returns average over 20%.
- Sustained momentum could reach $150,000 in Q4.
- Technical indicators and precious metals correlation are favorable.
Encouragement from historical data, coupled with current bullish undertones, suggests Bitcoin might very well challenge and possibly exceed its previous record highs soon. However, market watchers remain vigilant as volatility looms as Bitcoin traverses uncharted territory. While optimism is abundant, prudent analysis remains crucial in navigating the volatile digital currency landscape.
