Silver has consistently been making gains since May, echoing the bullish trends seen in altcoins during their peak years. Its upward momentum has set it apart, as it now hovers near an all-time high, buoying investor spirits with lucrative returns as the Federal Reserve gradually shifts toward quantitative easing.
Why Are Silver Prices Rising?
The recent surge in silver prices can be traced back to a decision by the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, sparking renewed interest in the metal. According to MUFG analysts, several factors contribute to this ascent, including robust demand from India and continued interest from Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). Additionally, constrained supply following a significant squeeze in October further tightened the market, lifting prices.
What’s Influencing Future Trends?
With silver futures peaking at $62.14 in New York, some supply pressure has been relieved by increased shipments to London’s vaults, yet the over-the-counter (OTC) market remains tight. The rising silver lease rates—a fee for borrowing the physical metal—signal ongoing constraints. Experts from the OCBC FX and Rate Strategy team suggest potential for continued price hikes, though profit-taking might induce a temporary pause if the Federal Reserve’s latest decisions are favorable.
As silver aims for a record 12-month rise, China looms large in the equation. Economics Professor Steve Hanke highlights China’s impending export controls on silver starting January, likely adding upward pressure to the market. Despite relaxing rare earth restrictions with the U.S., silver remains a focus for China, the world’s foremost silver exporter, potentially sustaining the rally.
Analysts observe that the Dow-Silver ratio has recently exited a 45-year-old pattern, indicating possible dramatic trends reminiscent of the 1970s. Predictions suggest precious metals, silver included, may witness similar fervor.
Certain concrete observations underscore the sector’s dynamics:
- COMEX stocks have decreased by 50 million ounces recently, signaling physical outflows.
- Supply is not replenishing, but rather experiencing depletion, casting doubt on paper valuations.
- Uninterrupted market interest is evidenced by potential continuation toward the $70 mark.
Prediction models from analysts like CRutherglen position silver’s short-term target near $63, projecting a peak between $82 and $98 by March 2026. These forecasts further affirm the bullish sentiment surrounding silver, reflecting its stellar performance and future prospects.
“Silver is nearing its short-term target around $63. Following this, the primary cycle peak target lies between $82 and $98, anticipated around March 2026.”
As market dynamics continue to evolve, all eyes are set on silver’s trajectory as enthusiasts eagerly watch for new milestones in the coming months.
