Following an exciting week in 2024, investors considered a minor sell-off in Bitcoin (BTC) unproblematic, resulting in a price dip to $41,700, with a slight recovery to $42,400 at the time of reporting. The focus now shifts to whether cryptocurrencies will experience a resurgence.
Volatility in the spot price of Bitcoin has been noted due to the outcomes of demand/sales in futures markets, which is expected to continue. The long-short ratio at Binance Futures has reached its highest level in recent months, indicating investors’ belief that a local bottom has been established and anticipating a rise.
According to The Block’s Data Dashboard, the ratio of long to short positions has surged to 2.86 following the approval of multiple Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), suggesting a strong bullish sentiment as a balanced market would reflect a ratio of 1.
Metrics reaching recent highs are promising, with Coinglass data confirming dominant long positions signaling an uptrend. Current Coinglass position data shows 42% of investors are bullish, while only 22% hold bearish positions, with the rest neutral. However, there’s a risk of price movement in the opposite direction due to crowd behavior.
Price dips have been observed when liquidation data shows accumulation in ranges appealing to market makers and large investors, indicating speculative “hunting.” Strong spot demand is necessary to counter this. Upcoming U.S. stock market activity and potential ETF-related news may provide the needed spot support, while the macroeconomic front remains cautious with upcoming Federal Reserve meetings.
