In a recent analysis, popular investor Rekt Capital suggested that Bitcoin halving events may present a final opportunity for investors to purchase the cryptocurrency at a discount before the start of macro uptrends. Rekt Capital’s latest YouTube content examines Bitcoin’s price drops during the 2016 and 2020 halving events, noting a 40% and 19% decline from local peaks, respectively.
Analysis of Bitcoin’s Historical Corrections
Predictions based on past halvings propose that Bitcoin could potentially retreat to around $42,000, mirroring the 2020 event. Additionally, the analysis discusses the possibility of Bitcoin falling to even lower support levels at $37,000 and $31,000, drawing on patterns from previous halvings. CryptoQuant contributor Venturefounder offers further insights, referencing the 50-day moving average as a critical indicator of impending price corrections when Bitcoin has risen significantly above this trend line.
Indicators Suggest Possible Price Declines
Recent trends also suggest the Bitcoin price might decrease, with the 50-day moving average currently sitting at $45,700, a key level for dollar cost averaging among recent spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) investors. Other data, such as the Short-Term Holder Profit Ratio (SOPR), indicate that the market may soon experience a sell-off. The SOPR reveals that short-term Bitcoin holders, who have owned the asset for 155 days or less, might soon reach a profit-taking threshold, historically associated with market retracements. Technical charts support this view, showing Bitcoin under resistance and potentially heading towards a $48,000 price point.