This week is pivotal for the crypto world as the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to announce its decision on approving a spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF). The potential approval has fueled a significant price surge in Bitcoin, with a 60% increase over the past three months, driven by high expectations.
Currently, 13 companies, including major players like BlackRock, Invesco, and Fidelity, are awaiting SEC’s decision on their spot Bitcoin ETF applications. Experts anticipate a positive outcome, with a 90% chance of approval, which could sustain the ongoing crypto market rally and further excitement is building up towards the fourth Bitcoin halving event in April 2024.
Opinions on the impact of a spot Bitcoin ETF approval vary, with some expecting it to trigger a bull market by increasing both individual and institutional demand for Bitcoin, especially in light of the upcoming halving, which will reduce Bitcoin’s supply.
Industry analysts, such as Owen Lau from Oppenheimer, highlight the significance of fund flows as market signals, while Bitwise points out that financial advisors see the approval as a major catalyst, despite mixed expectations on the launch of an ETF this year.
Experts like Tyrone Ross from Onramp Invest and JPMorgan’s Worthington suggest that initial market reactions could be disappointing, but the medium to long-term outlook remains positive with increasing advisor familiarity with cryptocurrencies, and high market activity could support the rally.