Bitcoin‘s recent price history marks a departure from traditional cyclical patterns primarily driven by block reward halvings. Historically, bullish trends have followed these halving events, with the two years before often marked by bearish activity. This time, however, Bitcoin is demonstrating unique behavior in its market cycle.
What Drives the Current Bull Cycle?
The current bull run, which began in mid-2023, gained initial momentum from expectations of spot Bitcoin ETFs being approved in the U.S. Following these approvals in early 2024, Bitcoin surged past its previous all-time high from 2021, reaching around $74,000. This marks a unique occurrence where Bitcoin achieved a new peak ahead of a halving event.
The endorsement of spot Bitcoin ETFs by significant financial institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity has bolstered Bitcoin’s credibility as a legitimate investment asset. This validation spurred a significant influx of investment, propelling Bitcoin’s price. Despite recent stabilization, Bitcoin’s price remains strong, oscillating between $60,000 and $70,000.
How Will Monetary Policies Impact Bitcoin?
Further reinforcing the bullish sentiment are speculations that the Federal Reserve might lower interest rates later this year. Typically, lower interest rates benefit riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, which could further buoy Bitcoin’s price. This potential monetary policy change is viewed as a favorable condition for continued growth.
Key Insights for Investors
- Bitcoin’s price recently hit a new high of approximately $74,000.
- Spot Bitcoin ETFs from major financial players are boosting market confidence.
- Speculation around Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts is adding to bullish sentiment.
- Recent block reward halving has reduced new BTC production, influencing supply dynamics.
- Accumulation by ETFs, large investors, and individuals suggests sustained price levels.
Potential Longevity of the Bull Market
Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, asserts that Bitcoin is in the midst of a bull cycle, with its market value rising faster than its realized value. Typically lasting around two years, this trend indicates the current bull run could persist for approximately 11 more months.