As the week kicked off, Bitcoin (BTC) exceeded $106,500 following a tumultuous weekend marked by escalating conflict between Iran and Israel. Rachael Lucas from BTC Markets observed that although geopolitical tension temporarily shook Bitcoin’s value, it promptly rebounded as investors sought Bitcoin as a safe haven against such uncertainties. Presently, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index indicates a cautiously positive sentiment at 61. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting this week is poised to be a key focus for market observers.
What Drives Bitcoin’s Price Movements?
Bitcoin’s price is swayed by a confluence of institutional participation, macroeconomic shifts, and geopolitical risks. Lucas pointed out that Bitcoin showed vulnerability when Israel targeted Iranian nuclear sites, leading to a 4% dip; however, she mentioned that prices tend to recover swiftly from such events.
Vincent Liu, CIO of Kronos Research, highlighted the resilience of global liquidity and institutional interest, even amid geopolitical anxieties. He believes these factors could pave the way for Bitcoin’s potential surge after tensions ease.
In recent developments, U.S. spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) reported $5.23 billion in net monthly inflows, reflecting levels from Donald Trump’s presidency and offering bullish market signals. Lucas indicated breaking the $106,406 resistance signifies persistent bullish momentum, with the next notable target being a record high.
How Will the FOMC Decision Affect Markets?
Bitcoin maintains a 65% dominance in the market, while Ethereum (ETH), a major altcoin, saw a 1.48% rise recently, priced at $2,569. Analysts suggest ETH is strengthening its hold in the institutional sector, potentially spurred by phenomena like DeFi Summer. The upcoming FOMC interest rate decision, expected Tuesday and Wednesday, continues to capture market attention.
Liu suggests the FOMC meeting might be decisive for BTC and ETH’s performance. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool projects a 96.7% probability of the Fed maintaining the current interest rate between 4.25% and 4.50%.
In related news, the Financial Times reported that former President Trump urged Fed Chair Jerome Powell for a significant rate cut, threatening executive intervention.
- Bitcoin surpassed $106,500 despite geopolitical instability.
- Geopolitical events make BTC more volatile but recover quickly.
- U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw $5.23 billion in net inflow last month.
- ETH gains 1.48%, accelerating in the institutional space.
- FOMC meeting may impact BTC and ETH prices significantly.
- 96.7% chance Fed will hold interest rates steady.
Announcements regarding ETFs or stablecoins from the U.S. SEC and Treasury, alongside the Fed’s interest rate decision, are likely to further influence market sentiments and investment flows.
