Bitcoin recently hit a two-month low but indicators suggest it might have bottomed out. Data from TradingView shows BTC/USD pair on a recovery trajectory after touching $38,500. The United States’ first spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have garnered investor interest in the initial two weeks.
Outflows from Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) appear to be slowing, signaling reduced selling pressure from institutions. On-chain data indicates oversold market conditions, hinting at a more sustainable Bitcoin price recovery, especially since Bitcoin is currently 20% below its local highs.
Despite uncertainties, even long-term holders have made sales this month. The market focus is on the U.S.’s first spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have seen billions of dollars in inflows since their January 11 launch, while the BTC/USD pair has experienced over a 20% decline. Market participants link this process particularly to the ETF space.
The transformation of Grayscale Bitcoin Trust into an ETF product has allowed long-trapped investors to exit, potentially moving to another spot Bitcoin product, although regulations require a waiting period of at least a month.
Critics argue that large Bitcoin transfers to Coinbase by Grayscale have little to do with the downward pressure Bitcoin has seen since then. Instead, sales from the bankrupt crypto exchange FTX and futures liquidations are also considered.