A dramatic downturn in the crypto market on October 10-11 has created ripples across the sector, forcing Bitcoin and altcoins to shed value significantly. This wave of instability disrupted many investment strategies, specifically impacting Ethena’s staked USDe (sUSDe) positions. A recent analysis by Sentora Research sheds light on the precarious state of approximately $1 billion in sUSDe collateralized positions, as these investments now grapple with negative yield rates.
What Caused sUSDe’s Yield Plunge?
Originally, Ethena’s sUSDe offered lucrative yields through staking USDe tokens, propelling investors to pile into this derivative. The unforeseen market slump, however, triggered a steep decline in DeFi market interest rates, stripping these benefits away. Sentora Research points out that borrowing rates on platforms like Aave v3 Core have shot up, surpassing sUSDe yields, hence diminishing the attraction of sUSDe-based strategies.
What Could This Mean for DeFi Liquidity?
The decline in yield cycles has spelled trouble for investors who have utilized sUSDe as collateral in systems such as Aave and Pendle. Profits once reaped from low borrowing costs are now elusive, with the negative yield turning the tide. If the current trend continues, nearly $1 billion in leveraged positions are in jeopardy of liquidation. The situation has been described as “dire” by Sentora Research.
As negative yields persist, Sentora Research warns of mounting collateral sales and shrinking positions within DeFi. This scenario threatens to deplete the liquidity for sUSDe collateral and the stablecoins borrowed, setting off potential ripple effects. The research firm notes that high borrowing rates witnessed on Aave v3 Core could trigger further liquidations, escalating the crisis.
Many positions are merely 5% away from liquidation, hinting that even minor market instability could prompt liquidations.
Key takeaways from the report include:
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Negative yields in sUSDe necessitate vigilant monitoring of Aave’s APY against sUSDe returns.
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A surge in USDT and USDC pool utilization could exacerbate borrowing costs, adding to the liquidity crunch.
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Positions hovering close to the liquidation threshold represent a heightened risk of potential default amidst prevailing market oscillations.
Amidst market turbulence, Sentora Research’s findings serve as a cautionary tale for investors playing the crypto game. Monitoring yield differentials and maintaining strategic vigilance are critical to navigating these choppy financial waters. As sUSDe positions hang in the balance, the crypto landscape remains a treacherous zone, emphasizing the unpredictability of digital asset investments.
