Pi Coin (PI), the flagship cryptocurrency of Pi Network, is grappling with significant struggles, hovering under the $0.65 mark, while nearing a crucial support level of $0.60. All technical signs point towards intensifying bearish pressure, as daily trading volumes have dramatically decreased by more than 90% since May. The Pi Day 2 event on June 28 is positioned to be pivotal in steering the coin’s short-term trajectory, amidst these ongoing market uncertainties.
What Do Technical Indicators Reveal?
The technical outlook for Pi Coin is bleak. Analysts have identified troubling signals across various price-tracking indicators. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues its downslide below 45, signaling insufficient bullish momentum. Similarly, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator displays persistent red bars, underlining the prevailing bearish sentiment.
The Ichimoku Cloud analysis further reinforces this trend. With the price sitting below the Kumo cloud and a lagging Chikou span, the bearish pressure remains unrelenting. Without a decisive break past the descending trend line approximately at $0.75, the PI coin risks dipping below the $0.60 support to reach a new critical floor of $0.38.
How Does On-Chain Data Reflect the Situation?
On-chain activity corroborates the technical analysis. Data from Artemis reveals that daily trading volume has plummeted from over $2.2 billion in mid-May to less than $62 million by June 10, marking an alarming 97% drop.
Additionally, the proportion of trading volume to the fully diluted market cap (FDMC) has sunk to a mere 0.09%, indicating vanishing liquidity and dwindling speculative interest. Although a reduced supply might help in the long term, it is not enough to offset the current demand shortfall or positively influence price movements under prevailing conditions.
What Could Pi Day 2 Bring?
The upcoming Pi Day 2 event is seen as a potential catalyst for change. During this event, the community anticipates updates on several fronts: a definitive timetable for the Open Mainnet, essential for listings on centralized exchanges; information about decentralized applications (dApps) and commercial integrations; and official insights on the Global Consensus Value (GCV) pegged at $314,159.
– If clear plans and actions are shared, a price rebound is likely, possibly testing $1 or more.
– Ambiguity or lack of progress during the event might lead to breaching the $0.60 support and deeper corrections.
As the market anticipates these developments, the evidence currently supports a bearish outlook, with stakeholders eager for definitive announcements from Pi Network’s Core Team. The upcoming weeks will be critical in determining whether Pi Coin can reverse its fortunes or continue to struggle under current market pressures.
