The prospects for the approval of a spot Ethereum ETF have dramatically surged, with probabilities exceeding 75% in the past day. This shift is attributed to significant strides in communication between potential issuers and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The implications of a spot Ether ETF approval could be profound, particularly for the price of ETH, which has already seen notable increases.
What Could Ethereum’s Price Reach?
Following the approval of the Bitcoin ETF, there was a massive influx of over $12 billion, propelling the price to an all-time high of $73,777. This generated demand far outstripped daily issuance by 20-40 times. A similar scenario could unfold for Ethereum, potentially driving up its value significantly.
As the likelihood of SEC approval grows clearer, NEXO executive Andrey Stoychev has identified it as a major catalyst for ETH’s price. Since its recent low, the ETF’s price has already seen an increase of nearly $1,000, suggesting strong market anticipation.
What Is the Timeline for ETH ETFs?
The rally in Ether began after the SEC instructed exchanges to update their 19b-4 filings, as reported by Bloomberg’s James and Eric. While this suggests a shift in the SEC’s stance, the exact timeline for a potential spot Ether ETF remains uncertain, as pointed out by Nexo’s Stoychev.
Stoychev speculates that this change in perception could be influenced by upcoming U.S. presidential elections, emphasizing the pivotal role of crypto users, particularly in swing states. Despite the optimism, the process of making these ETFs available for trading might extend until 2025.
Key Takeaways for Investors
– Approval of a spot Ethereum ETF is becoming increasingly likely.
– Past ETF approvals, such as Bitcoin’s, have led to substantial price increases.
– Strong market anticipation is reflected in the recent $1,000 price surge of the ETF.
– Political factors, including the U.S. elections, could be impacting the SEC’s stance.
– Investors should be prepared for potential delays in the actual trading of these ETFs.
Conclusion
While the approval process for Ethereum ETFs is progressing, analysts highlight that obtaining the necessary S-1 approvals could take weeks or even months. However, if theoretical approvals come through soon, it would mark a significant milestone, making the question of an Ethereum ETF more about “when” rather than “if.”