Solana‘s cryptocurrency, SOL, which hit an all-time high of $160 on January 19, is bracing for potential turmoil as the release of 11.2 million coins approaches, part of the fallout from the FTX bankruptcy. Valued at approximately $1.78 billion, this influx is likely to increase pressure on prices, given historical trends that have seen similar unlocks lead to declines.
What Does the Market Anticipate?
The imminent release on March 1 has sparked fears of a significant sell-off. The increase in available coins typically points to a possible drop in price, as previously observed during large-scale unlocks.
Is Solana Experiencing a Market Shift?
Current market data from Santiment reveals that Solana’s funding rate has turned negative, indicating widespread expectations for price declines. A negative funding rate often signals a market dominated by short sellers rather than bullish support.
Anticipating further price erosion, the following factors are crucial:
- The upcoming 11.2 million coin release may trigger a substantial sell-off.
- Technical indicators suggest a possible dip below the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.
- Historical patterns show that urgency to liquidate assets, particularly in the context of FTX debts, can exacerbate price drops.
Despite the risks, should demand surpass supply, Solana could potentially see prices rise to around $228.13. Yet, with current market dynamics suggesting otherwise, traders remain cautious as they navigate this turbulent period.